Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa v Maccabi Tel Aviv: the model read
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa meet Maccabi Tel Aviv in the State Cup quarter-finals at Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv. The model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% MAC, 28% draw, 38% MAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 68%. Attacking output favors Maccabi Tel Aviv on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Maccabi Tel Aviv at 53%; double chance reads Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa or draw 62%, Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw 67%.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 15 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Hapoel Kfar Saba, W 6-1 v Hapoel Hadera, W 4-1 v Hapoel Afula, D 2-2 @ Kafr Qasim.
Maccabi Tel Aviv are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Sheriff Tiraspol, W 3-1 @ Hapoel Beer Sheva, L 0-1 @ IMT Novi Beograd, W 1-0 v Alashkert.
Maccabi Tel Aviv hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
