Where the market is wrong on Seattle Reign FC W v Bay FC W
Seattle Reign FC W meet Bay FC W in the NWSL Women group stage at Lumen Field, undefined.
Seattle Reign FC W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Seattle Reign FC W, 55% against 30%. Attacking output favors Seattle Reign FC W on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Seattle Reign FC W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Bay FC W, W 1-0 v San Diego Wave W, W 1-0 v Houston Dash W, D 1-1 @ Kansas City W.
Bay FC W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Seattle Reign FC W, L 1-2 v Kansas City W, L 0-1 @ Washington Spirit W, W 1-0 v Houston Dash W.
The market prices SEA at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output