Where the market is wrong on Bay FC W v Kansas City W
Bay FC W meet Kansas City W in the NWSL Women group stage at PayPal Park, San Jose.
Kansas City W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1408. Recent form leans Kansas City W, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors Kansas City W on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.
Bay FC W arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Kansas City W, L 0-1 @ Washington Spirit W, W 1-0 v Houston Dash W, L 2-3 @ Utah Royals W.
Kansas City W are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Bay FC W, W 3-2 v North Carolina Courage W, D 1-1 v Seattle Reign FC W, L 1-2 @ NJ/NY Gotham FC W.
Kansas City W hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bay FC W 1-2 Kansas City W.
The market prices BAY at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
