Bay FC W v Seattle Reign FC W: the model read
Bay FC W meet Seattle Reign FC W in the NWSL Women group stage at PayPal Park, undefined. The model makes Seattle Reign FC W the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% BAY, 32% draw, 38% SEA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Seattle Reign FC W, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Seattle Reign FC W on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Seattle Reign FC W at 56%; double chance reads Bay FC W or draw 62%, Seattle Reign FC W or draw 70%.
Bay FC W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Houston Dash W, W 3-0 v North Carolina Courage W, W 2-0 @ Racing Louisville W, D 2-2 @ Boston Legacy W.
Seattle Reign FC W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ San Diego Wave W, L 2-3 @ NJ/NY Gotham FC W, W 2-0 v Portland Thorns W, L 1-3 @ North Carolina Courage W.
Bay FC W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Seattle Reign FC W 1-1 Bay FC W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output