Charleroi v Union St. Gilloise: the model read
Charleroi meet Union St. Gilloise in the Cup semi-finals at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi. The model makes Union St. Gilloise the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 23% CHA, 27% draw, 51% UNI.
Union St. Gilloise rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1454. Recent form leans Union St. Gilloise, 80% against 43%. Attacking output favors Union St. Gilloise on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Union St. Gilloise at 69%; double chance reads Charleroi or draw 49%, Union St. Gilloise or draw 77%.
Charleroi arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Seraing United, D 2-2 @ Lens, L 1-3 @ Feyenoord, D 2-2 v Reims.
Union St. Gilloise are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Lille, W 4-0 v Patro Eisden, L 3-7 @ PSV Eindhoven, W 2-1 v Aarhus.
Union St. Gilloise hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union St. Gilloise 4-1 Charleroi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output