Where the market is wrong on Incheon United v Bucheon FC 1995
Incheon United meet Bucheon FC 1995 in the K League 1 regular season - 20 at Sungui Arena Park, Incheon. The model makes Incheon United the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% INC, 33% draw, 30% BUC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors Incheon United on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Incheon United at 56%; double chance reads Incheon United or draw 70%, Bucheon FC 1995 or draw 62%.
Incheon United arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Ulsan Hyundai FC, W 1-0 v Jeonbuk Motors, L 0-1 v FC Anyang, L 0-1 @ FC Seoul.
Bucheon FC 1995 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v FC Anyang, L 1-3 v FC Seoul, D 1-1 @ Gimcheon Sangmu FC, D 2-2 @ Daejeon Citizen.
Incheon United hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bucheon FC 1995 2-2 Incheon United.
The market prices INC at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Bucheon FC 1995: a 11.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
