Jeju United FC v Gangwon FC

Jeju United FC meet Gangwon FC in the K League 1 regular season - 19 at Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo. The model makes Gangwon FC the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 26% JEJ, 36% draw, 38% GAN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gangwon FC, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Gangwon FC on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 14%. Draw no bet leans Gangwon FC at 59%; double chance reads Jeju United FC or draw 62%, Gangwon FC or draw 74%.

Jeju United FC arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Gangwon FC, W 2-1 v Pohang Steelers, D 0-0 v Daejeon Citizen, D 1-1 @ Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

Gangwon FC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Jeju United FC, W 2-0 v Gimcheon Sangmu FC, L 1-2 @ Vietnam, D 0-0 @ FC Seoul.

Gangwon FC hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 7 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jeju United FC 1-1 Gangwon FC.

The market prices JEJ at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.