Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pereira: the model read
Deportes Tolima meet Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A apertura - 17 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague. The model makes Deportes Tolima the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% DEP, 32% draw, 24% DEP.
Deportes Tolima rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Deportes Tolima, 57% against 33%. Attacking output favors Deportes Tolima on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Deportes Tolima at 65%; double chance reads Deportes Tolima or draw 76%, Deportivo Pereira or draw 56%.
Deportes Tolima arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Quindio, D 0-0 @ Universitario, L 1-3 @ Atletico Nacional, L 0-3 @ Coquimbo Unido.
Deportivo Pereira are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Llaneros, W 1-0 v Jaguares, D 1-1 @ Águilas Doradas, W 1-0 v Real Soacha.
Deportes Tolima hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pereira.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
