Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe: the model read
Deportes Tolima meet Santa Fe in the Primera A apertura - 10 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague. The model makes Santa Fe the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% DEP, 32% draw, 37% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santa Fe, 66% against 57%. Attacking output favors Santa Fe on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Santa Fe at 54%; double chance reads Deportes Tolima or draw 63%, Santa Fe or draw 69%.
Deportes Tolima arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Quindio, D 0-0 @ Universitario, L 1-3 @ Atletico Nacional, L 0-3 @ Coquimbo Unido.
Santa Fe are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Caracas FC, W 1-0 @ Penarol, D 0-0 @ Junior, W 2-1 v Platense.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Tolima 2-2 Santa Fe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
