Union La Calera v D. La Serena: the model read
Union La Calera meet D. La Serena in the Primera División regular season - 21 at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan, La Calera.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors D. La Serena on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Union La Calera arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v D. La Serena, D 0-0 @ A. Italiano, L 1-2 @ Nublense, L 1-2 v Colo Colo.
D. La Serena are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Union La Calera, D 3-3 v Cobresal, W 2-0 @ Universidad de Concepcion, D 1-1 @ Coquimbo Unido.
D. La Serena hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union La Calera 0-1 D. La Serena.
The market prices UNI at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
