Comercial v Tanabi: the model read
Comercial meet Tanabi in the Paulista - A4 regular season - 15.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Comercial on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Comercial arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ São José EC, D 0-0 v São José EC, L 0-2 @ EC São Bernardo, W 2-0 v EC São Bernardo.
Tanabi are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Comercial, D 0-0 v Colorado Caieiras, L 1-2 @ Taquaritinga, D 0-0 @ Inter de Bebedouro.
Comercial hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Comercial 2-1 Tanabi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
