Where the market is wrong on Leandro N. Alem v Mercedes
Leandro N. Alem meet Mercedes in the Primera C regular season - 29.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mercedes, 53% against 35%. Attacking output favors Mercedes on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Leandro N. Alem arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Mercedes, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Muñiz, L 1-4 @ Deportivo Paraguayo, L 0-3 v Puerto Nuevo.
Mercedes are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Puerto Nuevo, W 1-0 @ Leandro N. Alem, D 1-1 v Deportivo Español, L 0-3 v Defensores de Cambaceres.
Mercedes hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Leandro N. Alem 0-1 Mercedes.
The market prices LEA at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Mercedes: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
