Excursionistas v Deportivo Armenio: the model read
Excursionistas meet Deportivo Armenio in the Primera B Metropolitana regular season - 28 at Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires. The model makes Excursionistas the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% EXC, 32% draw, 29% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Excursionistas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Excursionistas at 57%; double chance reads Excursionistas or draw 71%, Deportivo Armenio or draw 61%.
Excursionistas arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Flandria, D 0-0 v Argentino Quilmes, W 2-0 @ Defensores Unidos, L 1-2 v Comunicaciones.
Deportivo Armenio are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Arsenal Sarandi, D 2-2 @ Argentino de Merlo, W 2-1 v Talleres Remedios, D 1-1 @ Deportivo Laferrere.
Deportivo Armenio hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Armenio 0-2 Excursionistas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
