Where the market is wrong on Patronato v Temperley
Patronato meet Temperley in the Primera Nacional regular season - 29.
Temperley rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1431. Recent form leans Temperley, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Temperley on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Patronato arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Temperley, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Maipu, L 0-1 v Almagro, W 2-0 v Atlanta.
Temperley are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Patronato, W 3-1 v Colegiales, W 1-0 @ Quilmes, W 2-1 v Midland.
Temperley hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Patronato 0-0 Temperley.
The market prices PAT at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Temperley: a 12.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
