Quilmes v Gimnasia Jujuy

Quilmes meet Gimnasia Jujuy in the Primera Nacional regular season - 21 at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes. The model makes Gimnasia Jujuy the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% QUI, 33% draw, 37% GIM.

Gimnasia Jujuy rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1480. Recent form leans Gimnasia Jujuy, 68% against 47%. Attacking output favors Gimnasia Jujuy on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Gimnasia Jujuy at 55%; double chance reads Quilmes or draw 63%, Gimnasia Jujuy or draw 70%.

Quilmes arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Midland, W 2-1 v Atlanta, L 1-3 @ Colegiales, W 1-0 v Gimnasia Y Tiro.

Gimnasia Jujuy are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Chacarita Juniors, D 1-1 @ Midland, W 3-1 @ Club Atlético Güemes, W 4-0 v Nueva Chicago.

Quilmes hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Quilmes.

The market prices QUI at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Gimnasia Jujuy: a 10.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.