Nueva Chicago v Agropecuario

Nueva Chicago meet Agropecuario in the Primera Nacional regular season - 21 at Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires. The model makes Nueva Chicago the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% NUE, 36% draw, 27% AGR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nueva Chicago, 47% against 35%. Attacking output favors Nueva Chicago on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 13%. Draw no bet leans Nueva Chicago at 58%; double chance reads Nueva Chicago or draw 73%, Agropecuario or draw 63%.

Nueva Chicago arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Agropecuario, L 0-1 @ Tristan Suarez, W 2-0 v Club Atlético Güemes, D 0-0 v Atletico DE Rafaela.

Agropecuario are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Nueva Chicago, D 0-0 v Temperley, L 0-2 @ Deportivo Maipu, L 0-2 @ San Martin S.J..

Agropecuario hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nueva Chicago 1-1 Agropecuario.

The market prices NUE at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.