Where the market is wrong on Skjetten v Tromsø II
Skjetten meet Tromsø II in the 3. Division - Girone 5 regular season - 19.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Skjetten, 48% against 28%. Attacking output favors Skjetten on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
Skjetten arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Tromsø II, D 2-2 @ Fløya, L 2-4 @ Ulfstind, W 2-1 v Lillestrøm II.
Tromsø II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Skjetten, L 0-1 v Harstad, L 1-3 @ Skedsmo, D 3-3 @ Bossekop.
Tromsø II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Skjetten 3-2 Tromsø II.
The market prices SKJ at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Tromsø II: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output