Where the market is wrong on Nardo v Ranheim II
Nardo meet Ranheim II in the 3. Division - Girone 2 regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors Ranheim II on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.4 per match.
Nardo arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 19 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ NTNUI, W 4-1 v Ranheim II, W 5-2 @ Rosenborg II, W 4-2 v Spjelkavik.
Ranheim II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 13 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Volda, L 1-4 @ Nardo, L 1-4 v Byåsen, W 7-0 @ Kvik Trondheim.
Nardo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nardo 4-1 Ranheim II.
The market prices NAR at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on Ranheim II: a 19.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
