Where the market is wrong on Moss v Strommen
Moss meet Strommen in the 1. Division regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 43%. Attacking output favors Strommen on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Moss arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Strommen, D 2-2 v Sogndal, W 3-0 @ Lørenskog, L 1-2 @ Bryne.
Strommen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Moss, W 3-1 v Raufoss, W 4-2 @ Lillehammer, L 3-4 @ hodd.
The market prices MOS at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Strommen: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
