Turku PS v Mariehamn: the model read
Turku PS meet Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga regular season - 18 at Veritas Stadion, Turku. The model makes Turku PS the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% TUR, 30% draw, 25% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Turku PS, 50% against 25%. Attacking output favors Turku PS on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Turku PS at 64%; double chance reads Turku PS or draw 75%, Mariehamn or draw 55%.
Turku PS arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ HJK Helsinki, L 1-3 v Ilves, W 3-0 v AC Oulu, L 1-3 @ SJK.
Mariehamn are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v AC Oulu, L 0-2 v Lahti, L 2-4 @ Gnistan, L 0-4 @ VPS.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
