Where the market is wrong on Start v KFUM Oslo
Start meet KFUM Oslo in the Eliteserien regular season - 19 at Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 35%. Attacking output favors KFUM Oslo on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Start arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v KFUM Oslo, W 2-1 @ Flekkefjord, L 0-1 v Fredrikstad, L 0-3 v Viking.
KFUM Oslo are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Start, W 4-0 @ IF Ready, D 1-1 v Lillestrom, W 1-0 @ Sandefjord.
Start hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Start 4-1 KFUM Oslo.
The market prices STA at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on KFUM Oslo: a 9.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
