Forward Madison v One Knoxville: the model read
Forward Madison meet One Knoxville in the USL League One group stage at Breese Stevens Field, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Forward Madison, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Forward Madison on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Forward Madison arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v One Knoxville, W 2-1 @ Richmond Kickers, D 1-1 v Charlotte Independence, W 2-1 @ Portland Hearts of Pine.
One Knoxville are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Forward Madison, D 2-2 v Boise, D 1-1 v Portland Hearts of Pine, D 1-1 @ Greenville Triumph.
Forward Madison hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Forward Madison 1-1 One Knoxville.
The market prices FOR at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
