Where the market is wrong on Bray Wanderers v Treaty United
Bray Wanderers meet Treaty United in the First Division regular season - 32 at Carlisle Grounds, Bray.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bray Wanderers, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bray Wanderers on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.1 per match.
Bray Wanderers arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Kerry, D 1-1 v Cork City, L 1-2 @ Athlone Town, L 2-4 @ Longford Town.
Treaty United are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Longford Town, L 0-1 v Wexford, L 1-3 @ Kerry, D 2-2 v Cork City.
Bray Wanderers hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Treaty United 2-2 Bray Wanderers.
The market prices BRA at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Treaty United: a 12.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
