Bray Wanderers v Kerry

Bray Wanderers meet Kerry in the First Division regular season - 25 at Carlisle Grounds, Bray. The model makes Bray Wanderers the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% BRA, 29% draw, 28% KER.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bray Wanderers, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Bray Wanderers on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Bray Wanderers at 60%; double chance reads Bray Wanderers or draw 72%, Kerry or draw 57%.

Bray Wanderers arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cobh Ramblers, W 1-0 @ Finn Harps, W 6-0 v UCD, W 1-0 v Athlone Town.

Kerry are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Finn Harps, D 2-2 v Shelbourne, D 2-2 @ Wexford, L 1-2 @ Treaty United.

Bray Wanderers hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kerry 2-2 Bray Wanderers.

The market prices BRA at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Kerry: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.