Bohemians v Derry City: the model read
Bohemians meet Derry City in the Premier Division regular season - 28 at Dalymount Park, Dublin. The model makes Bohemians the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% BOH, 30% draw, 32% DER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bohemians, 58% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bohemians on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Bohemians at 55%; double chance reads Bohemians or draw 68%, Derry City or draw 62%.
Bohemians arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ballkani, D 0-0 @ St Joseph S Fc, W 2-0 v St Joseph S Fc, W 2-0 @ Drogheda United.
Derry City are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ HNK Rijeka, W 3-0 v Tolka Rovers, L 1-2 v CSKA Sofia, L 2-3 @ CSKA Sofia.
Derry City hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Derry City 4-1 Bohemians.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
