Where the market is wrong on Remo v Flamengo
Remo meet Flamengo in the Serie A regular season - 26 at Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem.
Flamengo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1477. Recent form leans Flamengo, 73% against 45%. Attacking output favors Flamengo on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Remo arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Coritiba, L 1-2 @ Fluminense, D 1-1 @ Internacional, D 2-2 v Atletico-MG.
Flamengo are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Botafogo, L 1-2 @ Cruzeiro, W 2-1 v Cruzeiro, W 5-1 @ Mirassol.
The market prices REM at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Remo: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
