Where the market is wrong on Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo meet Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer regular season - 24 at Shell Energy Stadium, Houston.
Houston Dynamo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1477. Recent form leans Houston Dynamo, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors Real Salt Lake on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Houston Dynamo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 @ St. Louis City, W 1-0 @ Vancouver Whitecaps, W 1-0 v Los Angeles Galaxy.
Real Salt Lake are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Colorado Rapids, L 0-3 @ Leon, L 1-2 @ Orlando City SC, L 3-4 v FC Dallas.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Salt Lake 3-0 Houston Dynamo.
The market prices HOU at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
