SONABEL v ASFA-Yennenga: the model read
SONABEL meet ASFA-Yennenga in the Ligue 1 regular season - 30 at Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% SON, 35% draw, 30% ASF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SONABEL, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors SONABEL on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans SONABEL at 54%; double chance reads SONABEL or draw 70%, ASFA-Yennenga or draw 65%.
SONABEL arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v ASFA-Yennenga, W 2-0 v ASFB, L 1-2 @ Douanes, L 0-1 @ RC Bobo-Dioulasso.
ASFA-Yennenga are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ SONABEL, L 0-1 v Réal du Faso, L 2-4 @ AJEB, D 1-1 v Sporting Cascades.
ASFA-Yennenga hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SONABEL 1-0 ASFA-Yennenga.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
