Tuilla v Caudal: the model read
Tuilla meet Caudal in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 34 at Estadio El Candín, Tuilla. The model makes Caudal the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 23% TUI, 29% draw, 49% CAU.
Caudal rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans Caudal, 70% against 33%. Attacking output favors Caudal on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Caudal at 68%; double chance reads Tuilla or draw 51%, Caudal or draw 77%.
Tuilla arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Caudal, L 0-4 @ Llanera, L 0-1 @ Siero, W 4-0 v Real Titánico.
Caudal are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Atlético Central, L 0-2 @ Atlético Central, W 4-2 @ Covadonga, W 2-1 v Covadonga.
Caudal hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tuilla 1-3 Caudal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
