Thonon Évian v Jura Dolois: the model read
Thonon Évian meet Jura Dolois in the National 3 - Group F group f - 26 at Stade Joseph Moynat, Thonon-les-Bains. The model makes Jura Dolois the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% THO, 31% draw, 35% JUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Jura Dolois on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Jura Dolois at 51%; double chance reads Thonon Évian or draw 65%, Jura Dolois or draw 66%.
Thonon Évian arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Jura Dolois, W 1-0 @ Racing Besançon, W 2-0 v Sochaux II, D 2-2 @ Troyes II.
Jura Dolois are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Thonon Évian, W 2-1 v Strasbourg II, L 2-4 @ Pontarlier, D 0-0 @ Racing Besançon.
Thonon Évian hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Thonon Évian 2-1 Jura Dolois.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
