Colmar v Thionville Lusitanos: the model read
Colmar meet Thionville Lusitanos in the National 2 - Group B group b - 26 at Colmar Stadium, Colmar. The model makes Thionville Lusitanos the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% COL, 29% draw, 41% THI.
Thionville Lusitanos rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Thionville Lusitanos, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Thionville Lusitanos on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Thionville Lusitanos at 58%; double chance reads Colmar or draw 59%, Thionville Lusitanos or draw 70%.
Colmar arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Wasquehal, L 0-6 @ Chambly Thelle FC, D 1-1 v Bastia-Borgo, D 1-1 @ Bourges Foot 18.
Thionville Lusitanos are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Nancy, W 5-0 @ Progres Niederkorn, W 4-0 @ RM Hamm Benfica, L 0-4 v Chambly Thelle FC.
Thionville Lusitanos hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colmar 0-0 Thionville Lusitanos.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
