Fréjus St-Raphaël v Limonest: the model read
Fréjus St-Raphaël meet Limonest in the National 2 - Group C group c - 25 at Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël. The model makes Limonest the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% FRÉ, 30% draw, 37% LIM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Limonest on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Limonest at 54%; double chance reads Fréjus St-Raphaël or draw 63%, Limonest or draw 68%.
Fréjus St-Raphaël arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grasse, L 0-1 @ Bobigny, L 0-1 v Toulon, D 0-0 v Saint-Priest.
Limonest are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Nimes, L 0-2 @ Creteil, L 1-3 v Grasse, W 2-1 @ Bobigny.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-4 Limonest.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
