Düren Merzenich v Fortuna Köln II: the model read
Düren Merzenich meet Fortuna Köln II in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein mittelrhein - 30 at Westkampfbahn, Düren. The model makes Fortuna Köln II the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 27% DÜR, 26% draw, 47% FOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fortuna Köln II, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors Fortuna Köln II on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Fortuna Köln II at 63%; double chance reads Düren Merzenich or draw 53%, Fortuna Köln II or draw 73%.
Düren Merzenich arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Fortuna Köln II, L 1-2 @ Eintracht Hohkeppel, W 2-0 v TuS BW Königsdorf, L 2-4 @ Bornheim.
Fortuna Köln II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Düren Merzenich, W 6-1 v SF Düren, L 0-2 v Eintracht Hohkeppel, L 2-3 @ TuS BW Königsdorf.
Düren Merzenich hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Düren Merzenich 2-5 Fortuna Köln II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
