Valenciennes v Aubagne: the model read
Valenciennes meet Aubagne in the National 1 regular season - 27 at Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes. The model makes Valenciennes the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% VAL, 31% draw, 29% AUB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Valenciennes, 50% against 32%. Attacking output favors Valenciennes on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Valenciennes at 58%; double chance reads Valenciennes or draw 71%, Aubagne or draw 60%.
Valenciennes arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Eastleigh, D 1-1 @ Kortrijk, W 2-0 @ Dunkerque, D 2-2 v Chateauroux.
Aubagne are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Montpellier, W 3-1 v Caen, D 1-1 @ Gobelins, L 1-2 v Stade Briochin.
Valenciennes hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Valenciennes 0-0 Aubagne.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
