Nordlingen v Erlbach: the model read
Nordlingen meet Erlbach in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd bayern süd - 26 at Gerd-Müller-Stadion, Nördlingen. The model makes Erlbach the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 30% NOR, 28% draw, 42% ERL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Erlbach, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Erlbach on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Erlbach at 58%; double chance reads Nordlingen or draw 58%, Erlbach or draw 70%.
Nordlingen arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Gebenbach, L 0-9 v 1. FC Heidenheim, L 1-2 @ Illertissen, L 1-4 @ TuS Geretsried.
Erlbach are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Hankofen-Hailing, W 2-0 @ Pipinsried, W 2-0 v Schalding-Heining, L 0-2 @ Sportfreunde Schwaig.
Nordlingen hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nordlingen 1-1 Erlbach.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
