Desportiva ES v Rio Branco-VN: the model read
Desportiva ES meet Rio Branco-VN in the Copa Espírito Santo quarter-finals at Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe, Cariacica, Espírito Santo. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 33% DES, 34% draw, 33% RIO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Rio Branco-VN on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Rio Branco-VN at 50%; double chance reads Desportiva ES or draw 67%, Rio Branco-VN or draw 67%.
Desportiva ES arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sport Recife, D 1-1 @ Vilavelhense, D 1-1 v Vilavelhense, D 1-1 @ Sampaio Corrêa RJ.
Rio Branco-VN are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Vitória ES, D 3-3 @ Porto Vitória, W 1-0 v Porto Vitória, W 1-0 @ Vitória ES.
Desportiva ES hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Desportiva ES 3-1 Rio Branco-VN.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
