Rennes v Lille: the model read
Rennes meet Lille in the Ligue 1 regular season - 26 at Roazhon Park, Rennes. The model makes Lille the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 29% REN, 32% draw, 39% LIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 63%. Attacking output favors Rennes on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Lille at 57%; double chance reads Rennes or draw 61%, Lille or draw 71%.
Rennes arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Club Brugge KV, W 3-1 v Guingamp, L 1-2 v Caen, L 1-3 @ Marseille.
Lille are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v RAAL La Louvière, L 0-2 v Auxerre, W 1-0 @ Monaco, D 1-1 v Le Havre.
Lille hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rennes 1-2 Lille.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
