Pisa v Genoa: the model read
Pisa meet Genoa in the Serie A regular season - 33 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa. The model makes Genoa the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 25% PIS, 30% draw, 45% GEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Genoa, 48% against 16%. Attacking output favors Genoa on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Genoa at 64%; double chance reads Pisa or draw 55%, Genoa or draw 75%.
Pisa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Pavia, L 1-2 @ Lazio, L 0-3 v Napoli, L 0-3 @ Cremonese.
Genoa are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Vicenza Virtus, W 2-1 v Trento, L 0-1 @ Lecce, L 1-2 v AC Milan.
Genoa hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pisa 1-2 Genoa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
