CDS Tampico Madero v Celaya: the model read
CDS Tampico Madero meet Celaya in the Liga de Expansión MX clausura - quarter-finals at Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico y Ciudad Madero. The model makes Celaya the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% CDS, 31% draw, 40% CEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Celaya, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors Celaya on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Celaya at 58%; double chance reads CDS Tampico Madero or draw 60%, Celaya or draw 71%.
CDS Tampico Madero arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Club America, W 2-0 v Tepatitlán, L 1-3 @ Tepatitlán, L 0-1 @ Tepatitlán.
Celaya are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Cimarrones, W 2-1 v Cimarrones, W 2-1 @ Leones Negros, W 5-0 v Leones Negros.
CDS Tampico Madero hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Celaya 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
