New Zealand New Zealand v Ukraine: the model read
New Zealand meet Ukraine in the Friendlies friendlies 1 at BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ukraine, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors New Zealand on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.
New Zealand arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Belgium, L 1-3 v Egypt, D 2-2 @ Iran, L 0-1 @ England.
Ukraine are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Denmark, W 2-0 @ Poland, W 1-0 v Albania, L 1-3 v Sweden.
Ukraine hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: New Zealand 1-2 Ukraine.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
