Potiguar Mossoró v Baraúnas: the model read
Potiguar Mossoró meet Baraúnas in the Potiguar 1st phase - 4 at Arena das Dunas, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte. The model makes Potiguar Mossoró the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% POT, 34% draw, 31% BAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Baraúnas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Potiguar Mossoró at 54%; double chance reads Potiguar Mossoró or draw 69%, Baraúnas or draw 64%.
Potiguar Mossoró arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ America-RN, L 1-3 v America-RN, W 1-0 v Laguna, D 0-0 @ Laguna.
Baraúnas are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ QFC, L 0-1 @ Potyguar, W 3-1 v Mossoró EC, W 1-0 v Potyguar.
Potiguar Mossoró hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Potiguar Mossoró 2-0 Baraúnas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
