Deportivo Pasto v Millonarios: the model read
Deportivo Pasto meet Millonarios in the Primera A clausura - quadrangular - 6 at Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto. The model makes Millonarios the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% DEP, 29% draw, 41% MIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Millonarios on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Millonarios at 57%; double chance reads Deportivo Pasto or draw 59%, Millonarios or draw 70%.
Deportivo Pasto arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Bogota FC, L 0-2 v Deportes Tolima, L 0-1 @ Deportes Tolima, L 3-4 @ Junior.
Millonarios are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Colo Colo, L 0-2 @ Universitario, W 8-1 @ Depor FC, L 1-2 v O'Higgins.
Millonarios hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Millonarios.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
