Bordeaux II v Toulouse II: the model read
Bordeaux II meet Toulouse II in the National 3 - Group A group a - 24 at Stade Pierre-Paul Bernard, Talence. The model makes Toulouse II the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% BOR, 31% draw, 36% TOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Bordeaux II on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Toulouse II at 51%; double chance reads Bordeaux II or draw 64%, Toulouse II or draw 66%.
Bordeaux II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 13 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Stade Bordelais, L 2-3 v Pau II, L 2-3 v Toulouse II, W 3-2 @ Trélissac.
Toulouse II are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Castanet, W 3-2 v Bassin d'Arcachon Sud, W 1-0 @ Anglet Genets, L 0-1 v Blagnac.
Toulouse II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bordeaux II 2-3 Toulouse II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
