União de Coimbra v Fátima: the model read
União de Coimbra meet Fátima in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 19 at Estádio Municipal Sérgio Conceição, Coimbra. The model makes Fátima the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% UNI, 32% draw, 40% FÁT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fátima, 43% against 33%. Attacking output favors Fátima on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Fátima at 59%; double chance reads União de Coimbra or draw 60%, Fátima or draw 72%.
União de Coimbra arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Peniche, L 0-2 v Benfica Castelo Branco, W 1-0 @ Alcains, D 1-1 v Os Marialvas.
Fátima are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Benfica Castelo Branco, W 3-0 @ Eléctrico, D 2-2 v Vitória de Sernache, L 0-2 v Oliveira Hospital.
Fátima hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: União de Coimbra 1-2 Fátima.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
