União de Coimbra v Peniche: the model read
União de Coimbra meet Peniche in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 13 at Estádio Municipal Sérgio Conceição, Coimbra. The model makes Peniche the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% UNI, 30% draw, 39% PEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 40%. Attacking output favors Peniche on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Peniche at 56%; double chance reads União de Coimbra or draw 61%, Peniche or draw 69%.
União de Coimbra arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Peniche, L 0-2 v Benfica Castelo Branco, W 1-0 @ Alcains, D 1-1 v Os Marialvas.
Peniche are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 10 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Lusitânia, L 1-3 @ UD da Serra, L 0-2 v Benfica Castelo Branco, L 2-5 @ Samora Correir.
Peniche hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Peniche 0-2 União de Coimbra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
