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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 22 · France

Martigues v Estac Troyes

1-2Temps plein· Stade Francis Turcan, Martigues· Arbitre: R. Landry

Analyse du matchBrief d'avant-match

Martigues v Estac Troyes: the model read

Martigues meet Estac Troyes in the Ligue 2 regular season - 22 at Stade Francis Turcan, Martigues. The model makes Estac Troyes the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 28% MAR, 30% draw, 42% EST.

Estac Troyes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1458. Recent form leans Estac Troyes, 63% against 42%. Attacking output favors Estac Troyes on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Estac Troyes at 60%; double chance reads Martigues or draw 58%, Estac Troyes or draw 72%.

Martigues arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Ajaccio, L 1-5 @ Lorient, D 1-1 v Paris FC, L 1-2 @ Guingamp.

Estac Troyes are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Grenoble, W 1-0 v RED Star FC 93, W 3-1 @ Nancy, L 0-1 @ Grenoble.

Estac Troyes hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Martigues 1-2 Estac Troyes.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Martigues

WLDLD6-3-9

Marqué 1.11 · Concédé 1.22 · Clean sheets 33.3% · Les deux marquent 38.9%

  • DDAjaccio1-1
  • LELorient1-5
  • DDParis FC1-1
  • LEGuingamp1-2
  • WECaen3-0

Estac Troyes

WLWWD11-3-6

Marqué 1.75 · Concédé 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · Les deux marquent 50%

  • DEGrenoble0-0
  • WDRED Star FC 931-0
  • WENancy3-1
  • LEGrenoble0-1
  • WDLaval4-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

MartiguesrecordEstac Troyes
0
2
0 draws

Goals

1-6

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Martigues

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-6

Estac Troyes

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 6-1

Biggest win 4-0

  • Martigues1-2Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes4-0Martigues

Managers

H. Malek

France · 53

In charge since 2025 · 7 clubs managed

  • Olympique d'Alès2022–2025
  • Hyères2021–2022
  • Paradou AC2020–2021
  • MC Alger2019–2019

S. Dumont

France · 43

In charge since 2024 · 3 clubs managed

  • Guingamp II2024–2024
  • Guingamp2021–2024

Données réelles uniquement : résultats récents, face à face et cotes du marché. Aucun résultat du modèle n'est affiché pour les équipes sans a priori Lemeister.