De Graafschap v Den Bosch: the model read
De Graafschap meet Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 25 at Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem. The model makes De Graafschap the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% DE , 27% draw, 33% DEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans De Graafschap at 55%; double chance reads De Graafschap or draw 67%, Den Bosch or draw 60%.
De Graafschap arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen, W 2-1 @ Utrecht.
Den Bosch are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FC Eindhoven, W 3-1 v Quick Boys, L 0-3 @ Almere City FC, L 2-3 v Almere City FC.
De Graafschap hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: De Graafschap 1-1 Den Bosch.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
