Lobos Buap v Tigres UANL: the model read
Lobos Buap meet Tigres UANL in the Liga MX clausura - 14 at Estadio Universitario BUAP, Puebla. The model makes Tigres UANL the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 28% LOB, 29% draw, 43% TIG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Tigres UANL on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Tigres UANL at 61%; double chance reads Lobos Buap or draw 57%, Tigres UANL or draw 72%.
Lobos Buap arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Toluca, L 1-4 v Cruz Azul, W 2-1 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 v Tigres UANL.
Tigres UANL are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Club Tijuana, D 1-1 @ Toluca, L 0-2 @ Guadalajara Chivas, W 1-0 v Nashville SC.
Tigres UANL hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Lobos Buap 0-3 Tigres UANL.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
