Pouso Alegre v Costa Rica : the model read
Pouso Alegre meet Costa Rica in the Serie D 1st phase - 11 at Estádio Municipal Irmão Gino Maria Rossi, Pouso Alegre, Minas Gerais. The model makes Costa Rica the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% POU, 32% draw, 37% COS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Costa Rica , 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Pouso Alegre on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Costa Rica at 54%; double chance reads Pouso Alegre or draw 63%, Costa Rica or draw 69%.
Pouso Alegre arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Madureira, L 1-2 v Portuguesa, L 0-2 @ Água Santa, L 0-2 v Portuguesa RJ.
Costa Rica are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Corumbaense, L 0-2 @ Bataguassu, D 1-1 v Naviraiense, D 0-0 @ Operario Ferroviario.
Costa Rica hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Pouso Alegre 0-1 Costa Rica .
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
