Ferro Carril v Bella Vista: the model read
Ferro Carril meet Bella Vista in the Copa Uruguay 2nd round at Estadio Ernesto Dickinson, Salto. The model makes Ferro Carril the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% FER, 32% draw, 27% BEL.
Ferro Carril rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1547 to 1420. Recent form leans Ferro Carril, 61% against 38%. Attacking output favors Ferro Carril on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Ferro Carril at 61%; double chance reads Ferro Carril or draw 73%, Bella Vista or draw 59%.
Ferro Carril arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Defensor Sporting, D 1-1 v Melo Wanderers, W 2-1 v Oriental, D 1-1 v Peñarol de Rivera.
Bella Vista are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Central Espanol, W 1-0 v Juventud, L 0-3 @ Juventud, D 1-1 v Atenas.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2023: Ferro Carril 0-0 Bella Vista.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
